Abnormally dry for June across the north
It's interesting to note that while there have been showers and thunderstorms in parts of Northern Michigan recently, all four main climate sites are running below normal in rain for the month of June.
Sault Ste. Marie is close, just -0.04" short of normal. Alpena is -0.88" short, Traverse City is running -1.34" below, and Houghton Lake tops the list at -1.87" for June, almost two inches below normal.
The primary track on thunderstorms and heavy rain has been well south/west of Northern Michigan much of the month. In fact, heavy rain has caused flooding in parts of Iowa, Northern Illinois near Chicago, and even far Southwest Michigan. Cary, Illinois in McHenry County picked up 6.15" of rain in the past 24 hours with most of that early Wednesday morning. Many roads and subdivisions in these areas are flooded.
For us, any meager rain chances Wednesday will be tied to lake breezes that develop in the afternoon heating. There are signs that by mid-afternoon, a few isolated showers/thunderstorms may build up in Lower Michigan primarily south of highway M-72 and north of US-10 in places such as Cadillac, Reed City, Big Rapids, Houghton Lake and perhaps Traverse City. Certainly not all areas will see rain as summer thunderstorms do not disperse rain evenly, but a few showers or a storm are possible.
Warm Wednesday, many areas will top out in the low/mid-80's with 70's right along the Great Lakes shoreline.