A couple more days on tap with muggy and warm summer weather before a big pattern change takes place late this week into the week of the 4th of July.
Northern Michigan has been on the fringes of thunderstorm clusters that have been rolling by mainly south/west of our area all weekend long. Still, a few spots such as Raber in Chippewa County tallied 1.50" of rain this past weekend.
Looking ahead, a warm day is still in tap with southwest winds Monday as high temperatures will soar back into the 80's with upper-70's over the Eastern U.P. While not a very great chance as there is minimal forcing and the atmosphere is sort of capped off, an isolated thunderstorm or two could pop up mainly along/east of US-131 in the Lower Peninsula Monday afternoon/evening.
A stronger disturbance will pass through Tuesday into Wednesday setting up a better and more widespread risk for thunderstorms those days with a slight risk for severe weather associated with any storms that do develop. By Thursday, somewhat cooler and less humid air will attempt to push in with highs by the weekend falling back into the low/mid-70's. There will continue to be a few rain showers or a thunderstorm each day this week before high pressure builds in late next weekend.
Longer range forecasts/models are indicating a potential push of unseasonably cool weather the following week taking us towards our 4th of July holiday. Stay tuned.