Gusty winds hang on Tuesday as lake effect snow cranks up into Wednesday
HIGH WIND ADVISORY through Tuesday afternoon from St. Ignace to Ludington.
WINTER STORM WARNING for Cheboygan/Emmet/Otsego/Charlevoix/Antrim Counties Tuesday late afternoon thru Thursday afternoon.
Several schools have closed their doors Tuesday morning due to power outages as winds frequently gusted into the 40 and even 50+ mph range overnight. The highest gust reported into the weather office was 55 mph near the lakeshore in Manistee. The wind will continue through the day although will drop slightly from what it was in the morning hours as low pressure lifts north of Lake Superior.
Temperatures will continue to tumble Tuesday as much colder weather upstream begins to spill into Northern Michigan. We start the day in the 40's and will end it in the upper-20's for some places. With regard to lake effect snow, I am not sold on a whole lot Tuesday. It will take some time for temperatures to get cold enough to induce lake snow and winds will be shifting somewhat from the southwest to west. I suppose a half inch in a spot or two is conceivable by evening.
Better chances for lake effect snow will kick in later Tuesday night and more so Wednesday afternoon/night as winds turn more northwesterly and even colder air drains in.
The best window for lake effect snow will be Wednesday afternoon through Thursday. With regard to accumulation, the highest totals will fall over parts of Emmet/Cheboygan/Charlevoix/Otsego counties as well as Antrim into Kalkaska counties. Total snowfall here from late Tuesday through Thursday evening will range in the 5-8" range although isolated areas could see 10" when by late Thursday. Away from these areas, a couple to 3-4" is possible with areas around Alpena seeing just a dusting. Keep in mind this will not all fall at once but over a couple day period and if you are not in the snow belts, you will obviously see a lot less. Blowing snow will also be an issue at times.
Not much changes later in the week with occasional lake effect snow at times. Temperatures will top out in the 20's each day into the start of our weekend.
There are increasing signals in the longer range weather models of even colder air working in next week with temperatures perhaps only reaching the teens along with expected kick up of more lake effect snow.