Major flooding on some rivers with snow making a return
It was a wild weekend of weather with flooding topping the list of issues along with some chilly temperatures in the forecast.
The combination of a still frozen ground in many places, snowmelt in the woods, along with two separate rounds of heavy rain over the weekend are leading to rapid rises on area rivers with flooding occuring in spots.
Based on radar estimates of rain as well as people measuring in the old rain gauge it appears the heaviest of the rain and the worst of the flooding concerns lie along/south of a Traverse City-Oscoda line, basically south of highway M-72. One of my weather observers at Paris in Mecosta County picked up 6.25" of rainfall over the weekend.
The primary rivers that we are concerned with flooding are the Manistee River, the Platte River, the Boardman River, the Muskegon River, the Pine River, and the Pere Marquette River as well as all of the smaller feeder creeks/streams.
We also have had reports of widespread flooding in Wexford County leading to multiple road closures. In fact, we are told that some homes are beginning to flood along Lake Mitchell in Cadillac and also along the Manistee River in Wexford County.
With the Manistee River the National Weather Service has issued a Flood Warning through Wednesday evening. Already the river at Sherman in Wexford County has topped 16-ft. as of mid-Monday morning. The river is expected to see a record flood with flood stage at 15-ft. and a forecast for 17.2-ft. to occur Monday evening.
The Muskegon River is also under a Flood Warning with moderate to major flooding forecasted. Homes and some subdivisions in Evart in Osceola County will be affected by the rising water along with other locations further downstream. As of this writing, the Newago County Emergency Manager is urging residents along the Muskegon River to evacuate due to the expected flooding.
The Pere Marquette River will also see a moderate flood with flood stage of 5.5-ft. and a forecast of 6.9-ft. which will occur Tuesday into Wednesday.
Going forward, the steady rain is ending with snow showers returning. In fact, a few inches of accumulation will fall across the Eastern U.P. with up to an inch Monday over Northern Lower Michigan, with most of it along/west of Interstate-75. Temperatures will tumble down to near 20F Monday night and even into the teens in spots. Tuesday will be chilly with temperatures expected to stay in the upper-20's/30F range with a few snow showers at times.
Temperatures will gradually rebound mid/late week with highs Wednesday near 40F and by Thursday/Friday we will be close to 50F.