Rain and storms through Saturday night and Sunday
Northern Michigan has more rain and storms on the way through Sunday night.
Here's the set-up Saturday evening- low pressure is over the Minnesota/Iowa border, its warm front stretched out ahead across southern Michigan, and its cold front back towards the plains. Low pressure will move over Michigan Sunday night into Monday morning, keeping precip in the forecast.
The warm front will keep Central Lower temperatures pretty constant throughout the evening before rising, and as the warm front continues to move north many temps will rise overnight. The front is causing rain and thunderstorms across the area, and some of them have already been on the stronger side.
Some reports Saturday have come in from Hart of hail of 0.7", and thunderstorm wind damage in Grant has caused a plane to flip over at the airport and one of the metal hangars to be destroyed. Grant also reported roof damage and overturned campers. Howard City and Remus both reported 0.5" diameter hail, with Trufant reporting pea size hail and a storm gust of 50mph. Manistee and Wellston are reporting a little over an inch of rainfall from this afternoon and evening.
North Boulevard in Cadillac has been shut down from Seneca Place to M-115 because of high water levels on the road. Reports have also come in of significant storm damage in Mecosta County and Mason County.
If you have storm reports, feel free to add them and we'll get them in to the weather service.
Rain and storms will continue into the late night, when we'll get a bit of a break before more rain returns Sunday.
Keep the umbrella handy and an eye on the weather throughout the second half of the weekend, as some of the storms may once again have some gusty winds and hail.
Although the E. U.P. will be on the lighter side -rainfall totals around 1" - the further south you are the higher totals will be, approaching a possible 4" by Monday. Because of so much rain falling, mix and snow melting/falling, and the ground not being able to absorb much water, the National Weather Service has issued a flood watch for the entire L.P. until Monday evening. Expect rising in streams and rivers, and be prepared for low-lying areas to experience minor flooding.
We already have flood warnings in effect for the Muskegon River in Evart and near Croton (Newaygo County), the Chippewa River below Mt. Pleasant (Isabella County), and the Pere Marquette River near Scottville (Mason County) - Minor flooding is forecasted for these locations. A weather watcher in Scottville reported an appreciable increase in volume of the river just Saturday evening after rain showers and storms continued for hours. A reminder - even 6" of fast-moving flood water can knock a person off of their feet, and 2' of water can float a car.
Give yourself extra time on the Monday morning commute. As our system crosses through Michigan Sunday night, on the backside of it we'll see a changeover from rain to wintry mix and then snow. Roads will be slick throughout the day and at times, be snow-covered. This will be wet, heavy snow. Although the bulk of the precipitation will end for the afternoon, we'll keep scattered snow in the forecast Monday and into Tuesday. As of Sunday afternoon, light accumulations are expected (most will see between 1-3", if that), and what we get won't last long.
Luce County is under a winter weather advisory until 2pm Monday, and is looking at 2-6" - the higher amounts closer to the Central U.P.
High temps will stay mostly in the 30s, lows in the teens and 20s, for the first half of the week, but we do look to warm up Wednesday, and see more 50s into the weekend.