Last week was not quite the best in weather with cool temperatures and even a little snow in spots last Friday. We won't see a repeat of that this week as temperatures will be warmer although Tuesday will be a wet one.
We head back to work Monday on a pretty pleasant note with the weather a lot more typical for mid/late May. We should end up with a fair showing of sunshine Monday with temperatures ranging from 62F at Engadine in Mackinac County to 71F at Bellaire. Winds Monday will be out of the southwest. The only fly in the ointment Monday is the small window for a brief light shower to pop up in the afternoon in the counties bordering Lake Huron. Those southwest winds will run into a lake breeze in that area perhaps getting just enough lift to develop a shower or two. Even if that does happen, they will be light, not last long, and be confined to only a couple of counties.
More substantial rain will sweep across Northern Michigan late Monday through Tuesday. In fact Tuesday will be downright soggy for some places. This is all tied to a low pressure system over the Northern Plains. Rain will develop well west of us, and make a beeline for the area later Monday night. It looks like the most widespread and heaviest rain will pass by Tuesday morning with a rumble or two of thunder possible. Not everyone will see it, but a few places mainly in Northwest Lower Michigan could see more than an inch of rain Tuesday. The rest of Tuesday will continue to see passing showers or thunderstorms with a bigger range in temperatures (upper-50's over the U.P. and low-70's along the U.S.-10 corridor).
I will keep a shower or stray thunderstorm in Wednesday's forecast along/south of a Manistee-Tawas City line as a cold front drops south and out of the area.
It finally looks like a nice late week and weekend are in store with late spring warmth. Dry weather as high pressure arcs in Thursday through Saturday with only a slight chance of an afternoon storm Sunday. Highs by the weekend will be back into the 70's!