Cold front near Lake Michigan will hang out there for the remainder of the evening, and we have a low pressure system that will make it's way along the front out of Missouri.
So, we'll keep the rain and fog around for the lower peninsula and more of a mix for the northernmost counties as another round of precip lifts up through northern Michigan out ahead of the low. The front will angle a bit, changing the E. U.P. over to snow earlier, but the low will cross through the L.P. later Monday into Tuesday, changing the remaining areas over then. As the system exits toward the NE Tuesday, expect cooler weather and some lake effect snows. Most accumulations, especially in the L.P., will be light, but the lake effect areas and the E. U.P. will see more.
Here's how things look to play out-
For this evening, lots of rain for the lower peninsula, more of a mix towards the straits, and snow for the E. U.P. Precip may be heavy at times, and the E. U.P. looks to pick up light accumulations this evening.
For your Monday morning commute, a mix or snow for the E. U.P. and a possible 5-7" on the ground by then. We'll still have some mix and rain inland and towards Lake Huron, but we'll get a bit of a break before rain returns in the early afternoon.
Driving home from work or after school activities Monday looking at still mainly rain, some seeing snow mixed in, but around dinner-time expect things to start changing over to snow, especially on the Lake Michigan side.
By late night Monday we're seeing snow in the E. U.P., along the Lake Michigan side/inland, and still some mix elsewhere. The E. U.P. may have tacked on an inch or two more of snow throughout the day.
Tuesday morning - another morning to give yourself extra time and take it slow. Expect snow showers across the E. U.P. (looking at around 6-11" so far on the ground by this time) and the Northern Lower (most here seeing about 1").
Lake effect snow showers continue Tuesday, giving most in the L.P. around 1-3", the straits area closer to 2-4", and the
E. U.P. - many of you seeing around 8-14" (highest amounts in lake effect locations) in totals for this storm system.
As of now, Luce County is under a winter wx advisory from 2am-2pm Monday - Expect the snow to pick up late tonight and it may become heavy at times. Chippewa and Mackinac counties are under a winter weather advisory from 11pm-11am Monday.
Again, take it slower out on the roads tonight through Tuesday!