Much of Northern Michigan has been running well behind on rainfall since the start of June, but rains Monday should help ease some of those concerns.
After missing out on any substantial rain which has been impacting a lot of areas around us for the past month or so, the combination of a weak frontal boundary Monday and area of low pressure passing through interacting with ample moisture getting drawn in all weekend long on southwest winds is the perfect setup for thunderstorms, some with very heavy rainfall.
Both Traverse City along with Houghton Lake are running at least 2" below normal for rain since the start of June with Alpena over an inch below normal. The Eastern U.P. has fared a little better as Sault Ste. Marie is almost exactly where they should be in rain since the start of June.
The one spot as of this writing that got nailed Sunday night/early Monday was Empire in Leelanau County where radar estimates paint 2.60" of rain falling there in just a couple of hours in the early morning hours of Monday.
Severe weather is not forecasted but with an atmosphere loaded with moisture, any thunderstorms will drop very heavy rain with pounding of water and minor localized flooding a concern Monday. It appears the heaviest rains will fall across the Lower Peninsula.
Rain will end Monday evening with thick fog possibly developing by Tuesday morning.